Political Change, Domestic Institutions and the Onset of Anti-Dumping Investigations∗
نویسنده
چکیده
Leader turnover leads to the initiation of anti-dumping (AD) investigations among WTO member-states with AD codes on their books. This effect is larger in autocratic states. New autocratic leaders, under pressure from their supporters, may use their AD code to provide quick, WTO-legal trade barriers to protect those import-competing industries or firms that are members of their (usually narrow) support coalition. Democratic leaders have a broader underlying coalition that may include downstream firms, consumers and exporters. A new democratic leader will find the pressure to protect the industries in their coalition balanced by the needs of other coalition members, and are less likely to make use of the AD code. We offer empirical support for this claim using data on leader support changes and temporary trade barriers. ∗We thank Ashley Leeds and Michaela Mattes for sharing their data.
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